Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Horsens v Sønderjyske takes place on 25 October 2026 · 15:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens); Jacob A Sundberg will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.08 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Horsens 3W 4D 4L (18:19), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 7L (16:24).
- H2H: 26 matches: AC Horsens 9W 5D 12L, goals 42–45.
- Absences: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: injuries, suspensions, absences
AC Horsens
- C. Vestergaardknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Kolskogennot in the squad · doubtful
Sønderjyske
- M. Bundgaardnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Durunot in the squad · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 26:12 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 | |
| 6 | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 9 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 | |
| 10 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 | |
| 11 | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2-2-8 | 17:29 | 8 |
Recent matches
AC Horsens
Home and away
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AC Horsens: 7th, 16 points from 13 matches (4W 4D 5L). Sønderjyske: 12th, 8 points (2W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AC Horsens 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded, Sønderjyske 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Horsens: 3W 4D 4L, goals 18–19; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 7L, goals 16–24.
- Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: AC Horsens 9 wins, Sønderjyske 12 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 42–45.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; AC Horsens 9 wins, 5 draws, Sønderjyske 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AC Horsens 18–19, Sønderjyske 16–24.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Not available for Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
On the result, our pick is AC Horsens or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for AC Horsens or draw (1X).
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
As we see it: AC Horsens to win 39%, the draw 27%, Sønderjyske to win 34%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 15:00, at CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Jacob A Sundberg.
Who will be missing?
AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.78), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–0 (8.8%), 2–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
Bet with MINO CASINO →