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Superliga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 15:00

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Superliga

5–1
1AC Horsens2.50
XDraw3.60
2Sønderjyske2.86

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:53

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

AC Horsens v Sønderjyske takes place on 25 October 2026 · 15:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens); Jacob A Sundberg will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
AC Horsens or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
66%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.503.602.86
Market average2.393.452.76
Lowest odds2.303.302.62
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2176.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7254.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0845.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7533.8%
BTTS – yes1.571.5759.0%
BTTS – no2.322.2641.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: AC Horsens 3W 4D 4L (18:19), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 7L (16:24).
  • H2H: 26 matches: AC Horsens 9W 5D 12L, goals 42–45.
  • Absences: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.

Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?

AC Horsens39%
Draw27%
Sønderjyske34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
AC Horsens or draw (1X)66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes59.0% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.32
Outsider
AC Horsens to win39.0% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.50
Outsider
Sønderjyske to win33.8% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.86
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.8% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw27.1% · fair odds 3.69 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.74 · Under 1.98
probability of over 53.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 18.6%
0 : 18.2%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 06.4%

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: injuries, suspensions, absences

AC Horsens

  • C. Vestergaardknee injury · will miss the match
  • O. Kolskogennot in the squad · doubtful

Sønderjyske

  • M. Bundgaardnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • E. Durunot in the squad · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Midtjylland139-4-027:1531
2FC Copenhagen128-2-226:1226
3Viborg137-2-420:1223
4Brøndby137-1-523:2022
5FC Nordsjælland135-5-320:1720
6Odense134-5-415:1717
7AC Horsens134-4-523:2116
8Aarhus132-6-517:2112
9Silkeborg132-6-517:2412
10Randers FC133-2-813:2111
11Lyngby132-5-619:2811
12Sønderjyske122-2-817:298

Recent matches

AC Horsens

1 NovLViborg 1–0 AC Horsens
25 OctWAC Horsens 5–1 Sønderjyske
16 OctDAC Horsens 0–0 Randers FC
11 OctDSilkeborg 3–3 AC Horsens
20 SeptDAC Horsens 2–2 Aarhus

Sønderjyske

25 OctLAC Horsens 5–1 Sønderjyske
18 OctWSønderjyske 4–0 Silkeborg
12 OctLAarhus 3–0 Sønderjyske
20 SeptWSønderjyske 4–2 Randers FC
13 SeptDLyngby 1–1 Sønderjyske

Home and away

AC Horsens at home7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 12–10
Sønderjyske away6 matches: 0W 1D 5L, goals 5–16

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. AC Horsens: 7th, 16 points from 13 matches (4W 4D 5L). Sønderjyske: 12th, 8 points (2W 2D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AC Horsens 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded, Sønderjyske 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. AC Horsens: 3W 4D 4L, goals 18–19; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 7L, goals 16–24.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: AC Horsens 9 wins, Sønderjyske 12 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 42–45.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 26; AC Horsens 9 wins, 5 draws, Sønderjyske 12 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: AC Horsens 18–19, Sønderjyske 16–24.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Not available: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Not available for Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: the numbers side by side

AC HorsensSønderjyske
46%Form54%
48%Attack52%
55%Defence45%
20%Head to head80%
35%Goals65%
45.0%Overall55.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AC HorsensLWDDD
SønderjyskeLWLWD

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: head to head

All matches
9AC Horsens
5Draws
12Sønderjyske
25/10/26 · AC Horsens 5–1 Sønderjyske
6/9/26 · Sønderjyske 2–5 AC Horsens
9/3/24 · AC Horsens 1–4 Sønderjyske
12/8/23 · Sønderjyske 5–0 AC Horsens
9/8/23 · AC Horsens 1–2 Sønderjyske
20/5/21 · AC Horsens 1–2 Sønderjyske

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?

On the result, our pick is AC Horsens or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for AC Horsens or draw (1X).

Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?

As we see it: AC Horsens to win 39%, the draw 27%, Sønderjyske to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 15:00, at CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Jacob A Sundberg.

Who will be missing?

AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.78), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–0 (8.8%), 2–1 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sønderjyske vs FC Copenhagen 2 NovSilkeborg vs Lyngby 6 NovOdense vs Viborg 7 NovFC Copenhagen vs Brøndby 8 NovAarhus vs AC Horsens 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.