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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Worcester City vs Chorley tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Worcester City
1–0
Chorley
1Worcester City2.65
XDraw3.75
2Chorley2.55

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Worcester City entertain Chorley on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St. George's Lane (Worcester). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Worcester City vs Chorley: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Chorley (X2)
1.50
Goals
Both teams to score
1.63
63%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Worcester City vs Chorley: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.653.752.55
Market average2.473.472.45
Lowest odds2.403.382.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2373.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7752.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9547.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.8432.0%
BTTS – yes1.631.6356.4%
BTTS – no2.122.1043.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Worcester City 1–1 Chorley, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Absences: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.

Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?

Worcester City37%
Draw26%
Chorley37%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Worcester City vs Chorley: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals73.9% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.37
Likely
Draw or Chorley (X2)63.2% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.4% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.63
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.5% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.5% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.12
Outsider
Chorley to win37.1% · fair odds 2.70 · best 2.55
Outsider
Worcester City to win36.8% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.65
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.13 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 18.5%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 28.3%
2 : 18.3%
0 : 06.1%

Worcester City vs Chorley: injuries, suspensions, absences

Worcester City

  • No reported absences

Chorley

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Worcester City vs Chorley: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.63), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
    2. Not available: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.

    Alternative tip: Draw or Chorley (X2)

    Other option: Draw or Chorley (X2) (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Worcester City: no absences. Not available for Chorley: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.2%

    Worcester City vs Chorley: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Worcester City vs Chorley?

    On the result, our pick is Draw or Chorley (X2) (1.50); on goals, Both teams to score (1.63). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Chorley (X2).

    Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?

    As we see it: Worcester City to win 37%, the draw 26%, Chorley to win 37%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    20 October 2026, 19:45, at St. George's Lane, Worcester.

    Who will be missing?

    Worcester City: no absences. Chorley: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.80), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.63).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (8.5%), 1–0 (8.5%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.