EFL Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sunderland and Brentford meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland), under referee G. Ward. Brentford (53%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Sunderland vs Brentford: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.55 | 3.90 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 4.30 | 3.81 | 1.78 |
| Lowest odds | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.74 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.08 | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sunderland 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Sunderland 1W 0D 0L (1:0), Brentford 2W 0D 0L (8:2).
- H2H: 5 matches: Sunderland 1W 2D 2L, goals 6–10.
- Absences: Sunderland 0, Brentford 0.
Who will win Sunderland vs Brentford?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sunderland vs Brentford: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sunderland vs Brentford: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
Brentford
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sunderland vs Brentford: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sunderland 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, Brentford 4.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sunderland: 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0; Brentford: 2W 0D 0L, goals 8–2.
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Sunderland 1 win, Brentford 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 6–10.
What to expect
We make Brentford the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Sunderland 1 win, 2 draws, Brentford 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sunderland 1–0, Brentford 8–2.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Sunderland 0, Brentford 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sunderland: no absences. Not available for Brentford: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Brentford: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SunderlandWBrentfordWWSunderland vs Brentford: head to head
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Sunderland vs Brentford: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sunderland vs Brentford?
On the result, our pick is Brentford to win (1.85); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Brentford (X2).
Who will win Sunderland vs Brentford?
As we see it: Sunderland to win 22%, the draw 25%, Brentford to win 53%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Referee: G. Ward.
Who will be missing?
Sunderland: no absences. Brentford: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.77), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 0–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.