KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard takes place on 28 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam); S. van der Eijk will referee. We back Sparta Rotterdam (49%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.63 | 3.57 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 17:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
What to expect
We make Sparta Rotterdam the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Not available for Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Returns calculator
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
On the result, our pick is Sparta Rotterdam to win (2.00); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Sparta Rotterdam or draw (1X).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
As we see it: Sparta Rotterdam to win 49%, the draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 17:45, at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: S. van der Eijk.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.