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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 27 October 2026 · 17:00

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

Rot-Weiß Essen
W
1–2
1Rot-Weiß Essen14.14
XDraw8.50
2RB Leipzig1.21

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 16:22

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen entertain RB Leipzig on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion Essen (Essen), with Florian Exner the man in the middle. RB Leipzig (80%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: tip and prediction
Result
RB Leipzig to win
1.21
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.73
Combo
RB Leipzig & over 2.5 goals
1.55
64% · fair combo odds
80%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or RB Leipzig (X2) – probability 92%, odds up to 1.06. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available14.148.501.21
Market average12.237.711.16
Lowest odds9.456.381.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0687.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2474.4%
Under 2.5 goals3.823.6225.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.731.6855.6%
BTTS – yes1.741.7253.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0146.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 16:22. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 0L (2:0), RB Leipzig 1W 0D 0L (6:0).
  • H2H: 2 matches: Rot-Weiß Essen 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6.
  • Absences: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Rot-Weiß Essen8%
Draw12%
RB Leipzig80%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: more betting markets

Draw or RB Leipzig (X2)92.3% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.8% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
RB Leipzig to win80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.74
Possible
Both teams score: no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.22
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.82
Outsider
Draw12.1% · fair odds 8.25 · best 8.50
Outsider
Rot-Weiß Essen to win7.7% · fair odds 13.01 · best 14.14
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.8%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 29.6%
0 : 39.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 38.1%
0 : 47.2%
0 : 16.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: injuries, suspensions, absences

Rot-Weiß Essen

  • No reported absences

RB Leipzig

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, RB Leipzig 6.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Rot-Weiß Essen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; RB Leipzig: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–0.
  3. Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Rot-Weiß Essen 0 wins, RB Leipzig 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 2–6.

What to expect

We make RB Leipzig the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.21, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 2; Rot-Weiß Essen 0 wins, 0 draws, RB Leipzig 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0, RB Leipzig 6–0.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
  5. Not available: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.74). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. Not available for RB Leipzig: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: the numbers side by side

Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig
50%Form50%
25%Attack75%
0%Head to head100%
20%Goals80%
31.7%Overall68.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Rot-Weiß EssenW
RB LeipzigW

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: head to head

All matches
0Rot-Weiß Essen
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
27/10/26 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig
17/8/24 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

On the result, our pick is RB Leipzig to win (1.21); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or RB Leipzig (X2).

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

As we see it: Rot-Weiß Essen to win 8%, the draw 12%, RB Leipzig to win 80%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 17:00, at Stadion Essen, Essen. Referee: Florian Exner.

Who will be missing?

Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.28), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.82).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.74).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (9.6%), 0–3 (9.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.