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Danish Cup · round of 16 · 28 October 2026 · 19:00

Roskilde vs Aarhus tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Danish Cup

Roskilde
WWW
1–2
1Roskilde6.70
XDraw5.50
2Aarhus1.38

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Roskilde v Aarhus takes place on 28 October 2026 · 19:00; S. Funder will referee. We back Aarhus (68%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Roskilde vs Aarhus: tip and prediction
Result
Aarhus to win
1.38
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Aarhus & over 2.5 goals
2.12
47% · fair combo odds
68%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Aarhus (X2) – probability 86%, odds up to 1.11.

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Roskilde vs Aarhus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.705.501.38
Market average6.605.101.38
Lowest odds6.504.701.38
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1381.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4862.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4338.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.2641.1%
BTTS – yes1.801.7553.1%
BTTS – no2.011.9846.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Roskilde 0–2 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Roskilde 3W 0D 0L (12:1), Aarhus 1W 0D 0L (6:1).
  • Absences: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.

Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?

Roskilde14%
Draw18%
Aarhus68%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Roskilde vs Aarhus: more betting markets

Draw or Aarhus (X2)85.9% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.8% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.14
Likely
Aarhus to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.58
Possible
Both teams score: yes53.1% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.01
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.27
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw18.4% · fair odds 5.45 · best 5.50
Outsider
Roskilde to win14.1% · fair odds 7.08 · best 6.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 210.3%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 19.2%
1 : 18.7%
0 : 37.7%
1 : 37.4%

Roskilde vs Aarhus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Roskilde

  • No reported absences

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Roskilde vs Aarhus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Roskilde 4.0 scored and 0.3 conceded, Aarhus 6.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Roskilde: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–1; Aarhus: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.

What to expect

We make Aarhus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Roskilde 12–1, Aarhus 6–1.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  3. Not available: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.58). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Roskilde: no absences. Not available for Aarhus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Roskilde vs Aarhus: the numbers side by side

RoskildeAarhus
75%Form25%
67%Attack33%
50%Defence50%
13%Head to head88%
29%Goals71%
46.8%Overall53.4%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

RoskildeWWW
AarhusW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Roskilde vs Aarhus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Roskilde vs Aarhus?

On the result, our pick is Aarhus to win (1.38); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Aarhus (X2).

Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?

As we see it: Roskilde to win 14%, the draw 18%, Aarhus to win 68%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:00, at to be confirmed. Referee: S. Funder.

Who will be missing?

Roskilde: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.50), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (10.3%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.