EFL Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool entertain Chelsea on 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), with D. England the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Liverpool vs Chelsea: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.32 | 3.80 | 3.09 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.67 | 2.97 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.52 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.43 | 38.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 1W 0D 0L (3:1), Chelsea 2W 0D 0L (8:3).
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Liverpool vs Chelsea: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Chelsea: injuries, suspensions, absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Chelsea: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Liverpool 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Chelsea 4.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1; Chelsea: 2W 0D 0L, goals 8–3.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Liverpool 3–1, Chelsea 8–3.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Liverpool 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Liverpool: no absences. Not available for Chelsea: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Chelsea: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolWChelseaWWReturns calculator
Liverpool vs Chelsea: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On the result, our pick is Liverpool or draw (1X) (1.43); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
As we see it: Liverpool to win 42%, the draw 26%, Chelsea to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 20:00, at Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: D. England.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.56), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.53).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–2 (7.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.