Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel v 1899 Hoffenheim takes place on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel); B. Dankert will referee. We back 1899 Hoffenheim (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.00 | 4.97 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.80 | 4.68 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.70 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.15 | 29.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.88 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 0L (2:0), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 4 matches: Holstein Kiel 0W 0D 4L, goals 5–14.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: injuries, suspensions, absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Holstein Kiel 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, 1899 Hoffenheim 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Holstein Kiel: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Holstein Kiel 0 wins, 1899 Hoffenheim 4 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–14.
What to expect
We make 1899 Hoffenheim the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Holstein Kiel 0 wins, 0 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Holstein Kiel 2–0, 1899 Hoffenheim 4–0.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Not available for 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Holstein KielW1899 HoffenheimWHolstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: head to head
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Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
On the result, our pick is 1899 Hoffenheim to win (1.50); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.98). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (X2).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
As we see it: Holstein Kiel to win 16%, the draw 20%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 64%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: B. Dankert.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.38), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (7.9%), 0–2 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.