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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Harrogate Town vs Bury tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Harrogate Town
3–1
Bury
1Harrogate Town1.73
XDraw4.40
2Bury4.33

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Harrogate Town entertain Bury on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at CNG Stadium (Harrogate). Harrogate Town (54%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Harrogate Town vs Bury: tip and prediction
Result
Harrogate Town to win
1.73
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Harrogate Town & over 2.5 goals
2.68
37% · fair combo odds
54%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Harrogate Town or draw (1X) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.22.

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Harrogate Town vs Bury: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.734.404.33
Market average1.673.954.00
Lowest odds1.623.603.55
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1579.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5758.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.282.2241.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.4537.5%
BTTS – yes1.651.5958.1%
BTTS – no2.322.2041.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bury, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Harrogate Town54%
Draw23%
Bury23%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Harrogate Town vs Bury: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals79.3% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.19
Likely
Harrogate Town or draw (1X)77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Both teams score: yes58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.65
Possible
Harrogate Town to win54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: no41.9% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.32
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.28
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.40
Outsider
Bury to win22.7% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.33
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.3%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 09.0%
2 : 08.5%
3 : 16.2%
1 : 26.0%

Harrogate Town vs Bury: injuries, suspensions, absences

Harrogate Town

  • No reported absences

Bury

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Harrogate Town vs Bury: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Harrogate Town the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
    2. Not available: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Harrogate Town: no absences. Not available for Bury: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.3%

    Harrogate Town vs Bury: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Harrogate Town vs Bury?

    On the result, our pick is Harrogate Town to win (1.73); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Harrogate Town or draw (1X).

    Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?

    As we see it: Harrogate Town to win 54%, the draw 23%, Bury to win 23%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    20 October 2026, 19:45, at CNG Stadium, Harrogate.

    Who will be missing?

    Harrogate Town: no absences. Bury: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.62), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.28).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 1–1 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.0%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.