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EFL Cup · round of 16 · 28 October 2026 · 19:45

Fulham vs Crystal Palace tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, EFL Cup

1Fulham1.74
XDraw4.13
2Crystal Palace4.76

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fulham v Crystal Palace takes place on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Craven Cottage (London); S. Hooper will referee. We back Fulham (56%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: tip and prediction
Result
Fulham to win
1.74
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.54
Combo
Fulham & over 2.5 goals
2.66
38% · fair combo odds
56%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Fulham or draw (1X) – probability 79%, odds up to 1.22.

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Fulham vs Crystal Palace: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.744.134.76
Market average1.704.034.63
Lowest odds1.673.754.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.6258.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.342.2841.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4637.8%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.4%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 0D 0L (6:2), Crystal Palace 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Fulham 3W 6D 8L, goals 20–25.
  • Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham56%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace21%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: more betting markets

Fulham or draw (1X)79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.64
Possible
Both teams score: yes58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Fulham to win55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.74
Possible
Both teams score: no41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw23.6% · fair odds 4.24 · best 4.13
Outsider
Crystal Palace to win20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.3%
1 : 25.7%

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: injuries, suspensions, absences

Fulham

  • No reported absences

Crystal Palace

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Fulham 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Crystal Palace 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–2; Crystal Palace: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
  3. Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Fulham 3 wins, Crystal Palace 8 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 20–25.

What to expect

We make Fulham the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 17; Fulham 3 wins, 6 draws, Crystal Palace 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Fulham 6–2, Crystal Palace 3–0.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
  5. Not available: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.64). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Fulham: no absences. Not available for Crystal Palace: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: the numbers side by side

FulhamCrystal Palace
67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
0%Defence100%
7%Head to head93%
31%Goals69%
43.0%Overall57.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

FulhamWW
Crystal PalaceW

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: head to head

All matches
3Fulham
6Draws
8Crystal Palace
5/9/26 · Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace
7/8/26 · Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
1/1/26 · Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham
7/12/25 · Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
29/3/25 · Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace
22/2/25 · Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

On the result, our pick is Fulham to win (1.74); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.54). Prefer less risk? Go for Fulham or draw (1X).

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

As we see it: Fulham to win 56%, the draw 24%, Crystal Palace to win 21%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:45, at Craven Cottage, London. Referee: S. Hooper.

Who will be missing?

Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.64), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.34).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.