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EFL Cup · round of 16 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, EFL Cup

1Fleetwood Town40.00
XDraw15.00
2Arsenal1.10

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fleetwood Town and Arsenal meet on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood), under referee M. Salisbury. Arsenal (89%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: tip and prediction
Result
Arsenal to win
1.10
Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.50
Combo
Arsenal & over 2.5 goals
1.45
69% · fair combo odds
89%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
0–3likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Arsenal (X2) – probability 97%, odds up to 1.02. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available40.0015.001.10
Market average30.2612.351.07
Lowest odds14.447.911.03
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0787.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.321.2972.8%
Under 2.5 goals3.603.4427.2%
Over 3.5 goals1.801.7553.9%
BTTS – yes2.702.5836.0%
BTTS – no1.501.4564.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fleetwood Town 0–3 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Fleetwood Town 3W 0D 0L (6:0), Arsenal 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
  • Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Fleetwood Town3%
Draw8%
Arsenal89%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: more betting markets

Draw or Arsenal (X2)96.5% · fair odds 1.04 · best 1.02
Likely
Arsenal to win88.7% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.4% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 2.5 goals72.8% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Both teams score: no64.0% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 3.5 goals53.9% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 3.5 goals46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams score: yes36.0% · fair odds 2.78 · best 2.70
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.2% · fair odds 3.67 · best 3.60
Outsider
Draw7.9% · fair odds 12.74 · best 15.00
Outsider
Fleetwood Town to win3.5% · fair odds 28.86 · best 40.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%
Cardsline 2.5 cards
Over 2.04 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 313.5%
0 : 212.4%
0 : 410.9%
0 : 17.6%
0 : 57.1%
1 : 36.7%

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: injuries, suspensions, absences

Fleetwood Town

  • No reported absences

Arsenal

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Fleetwood Town 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, Arsenal 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Fleetwood Town: 3W 0D 0L, goals 6–0; Arsenal: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.

What to expect

We make Arsenal the favourites. The projected scoreline is 0–3, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–3 (13.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.10, so the goals markets are an option too: At least one team fails to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 36% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Fleetwood Town 6–0, Arsenal 4–2.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
  3. Not available: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Fleetwood Town: no absences. Not available for Arsenal: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: the numbers side by side

Fleetwood TownArsenal
75%Form25%
60%Attack40%
100%Defence0%
67.5%Overall32.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Fleetwood TownWWW
ArsenalW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

On the result, our pick is Arsenal to win (1.10); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Arsenal (X2).

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

As we see it: Fleetwood Town to win 3%, the draw 8%, Arsenal to win 89%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 20:00, at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Referee: M. Salisbury.

Who will be missing?

Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 36% (odds 2.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–3 (13.5%), 0–2 (12.4%), 0–4 (10.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.