KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior Maassluis entertain Heerenveen on 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis), with A. Lindhout the man in the middle. Heerenveen (75%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 10.00 | 6.25 | 1.24 |
| Market average | 9.18 | 5.89 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 7.93 | 5.70 | 1.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.09 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Excelsior Maassluis 0–2 Heerenveen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Absences: Excelsior Maassluis 0, Heerenveen 0.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: injuries, suspensions, absences
Excelsior Maassluis
- No reported absences
Heerenveen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
What to expect
We make Heerenveen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.24, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Excelsior Maassluis 0, Heerenveen 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Excelsior Maassluis: no absences. Not available for Heerenveen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Excelsior MaassluisDWHeerenveenReturns calculator
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
On the result, our pick is Heerenveen to win (1.24); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Heerenveen (X2).
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
As we see it: Excelsior Maassluis to win 10%, the draw 15%, Heerenveen to win 75%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 20:00, at Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis. Referee: A. Lindhout.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior Maassluis: no absences. Heerenveen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.36), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.1%), 0–3 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.