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KNVB Cup · round 64 · 27 October 2026 · 17:45

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, KNVB Cup

Excelsior '31
WW
1–1
1Excelsior '3113.50
XDraw8.00
2ADO Den Haag1.22

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 17:25

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag meet on 27 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sportpark De Koerbelt (Rijssen), under referee C. Ruperti. ADO Den Haag (79%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: tip and prediction
Result
ADO Den Haag to win
1.22
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.73
Combo
ADO Den Haag & over 2.5 goals
1.58
63% · fair combo odds
79%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or ADO Den Haag (X2) – probability 92%, odds up to 1.07. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available13.508.001.22
Market average11.927.061.17
Lowest odds9.506.301.11
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.071.0588.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2474.3%
Under 2.5 goals3.803.5925.7%
Over 3.5 goals1.731.6755.3%
BTTS – yes1.801.7054.3%
BTTS – no2.102.0245.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 17:25. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Excelsior '31 0–2 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Absences: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.

Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?

Excelsior '318%
Draw13%
ADO Den Haag79%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: more betting markets

Draw or ADO Den Haag (X2)92.2% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.3% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
ADO Den Haag to win79.0% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: yes54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.12
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.7% · fair odds 3.90 · best 3.80
Outsider
Draw13.1% · fair odds 7.62 · best 8.00
Outsider
Excelsior '31 to win7.8% · fair odds 12.75 · best 13.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.94 · Under 1.76
probability of over 47.6%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 29.3%
0 : 39.1%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 38.2%
0 : 46.7%
0 : 16.3%

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: injuries, suspensions, absences

Excelsior '31

  • No reported absences

ADO Den Haag

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make ADO Den Haag the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (9.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

    The result only pays 1.22, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
    2. Not available: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

    Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Excelsior '31: no absences. Not available for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: the numbers side by side

    Excelsior '31ADO Den Haag
    100%Form0%
    100%Attack0%
    0%Defence100%
    0%Head to head100%
    40%Goals60%
    40.0%Overall60.0%

    Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

    Form in the competition

    Excelsior '31WW
    ADO Den Haag

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.7%

    Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?

    On the result, our pick is ADO Den Haag to win (1.22); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or ADO Den Haag (X2).

    Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?

    As we see it: Excelsior '31 to win 8%, the draw 13%, ADO Den Haag to win 79%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    27 October 2026, 17:45, at Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen. Referee: C. Ruperti.

    Who will be missing?

    Excelsior '31: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.28), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.80).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–2 (9.3%), 0–3 (9.1%), 1–2 (8.3%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.