Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen takes place on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund); R. Schröder will referee. We back Borussia Dortmund (68%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.10 |
| Market average | 1.39 | 5.13 | 6.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.43 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Borussia Dortmund 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Werder Bremen 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 34 matches: Borussia Dortmund 22W 7D 5L, goals 75–42.
- Absences: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: injuries, suspensions, absences
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Borussia Dortmund 5.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, Werder Bremen 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Dortmund: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Werder Bremen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 22 wins, Werder Bremen 5 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 75–42.
What to expect
We make Borussia Dortmund the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 71%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; Borussia Dortmund 22 wins, 7 draws, Werder Bremen 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Borussia Dortmund 5–0, Werder Bremen 3–0.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 71%.
- Not available: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Not available for Werder Bremen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
On the result, our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win (1.43); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Borussia Dortmund or draw (1X).
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
As we see it: Borussia Dortmund to win 68%, the draw 18%, Werder Bremen to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:45, at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Referee: R. Schröder.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 71% chance (odds 1.38), against 29% for under 2.5 (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.2%), 2–0 (8.0%), 3–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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