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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 28 October 2026 · 19:45

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1Bayern München1.08
XDraw15.00
21. FC Magdeburg41.71

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Arena (Munich), under referee H. Osmers. Bayern München (90%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: tip and prediction
Result
Bayern München to win
1.08
Goals
Both teams to score
1.81
Combo
Bayern München & over 2.5 goals
1.25
80% · fair combo odds
90%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
3–0likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bayern München or draw (1X) – probability 97%, odds up to 1.01. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.0815.0041.71
Market average1.0713.7831.24
Lowest odds1.0511.3323.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.021.0294.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.101.0985.3%
Under 2.5 goals7.006.3814.7%
Over 3.5 goals1.311.2873.0%
BTTS – yes1.811.8151.5%
BTTS – no1.951.9248.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Magdeburg, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L (4:1), 1. FC Magdeburg 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
  • H2H: 1 match: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
  • Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Bayern München90%
Draw7%
1. FC Magdeburg3%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: more betting markets

Bayern München or draw (1X)96.8% · fair odds 1.03 · best 1.01
Likely
Over 1.5 goals94.9% · fair odds 1.05 · best 1.02
Likely
Bayern München to win89.7% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 2.5 goals85.3% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 3.5 goals73.0% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.31
Likely
Both teams score: yes51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.81
Possible
Both teams score: no48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.75
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals14.7% · fair odds 6.80 · best 7.00
Outsider
Draw7.1% · fair odds 14.15 · best 15.00
Outsider
1. FC Magdeburg to win3.2% · fair odds 30.80 · best 41.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.6%

Most likely correct scores

3 : 08.9%
4 : 08.8%
3 : 17.1%
4 : 17.0%
5 : 06.9%
2 : 06.7%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bayern München

  • No reported absences

1. FC Magdeburg

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayern München 4.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, 1. FC Magdeburg 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Bayern München: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1; 1. FC Magdeburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
  3. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Bayern München 1 win, 1. FC Magdeburg 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 6–1.

What to expect

We make Bayern München the favourites. The projected scoreline is 4–1, close to 5 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (8.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.08, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.81), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 85%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Bayern München 1 win, 0 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 7.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Bayern München 4–1, 1. FC Magdeburg 4–0.
  4. Projected: close to 5 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 85%.
  5. Not available: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.81). We project close to 5 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bayern München: no absences. Not available for 1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: the numbers side by side

Bayern München1. FC Magdeburg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
0%Defence100%
50.0%Overall50.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Bayern MünchenW
1. FC MagdeburgW

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: head to head

All matches
1Bayern München
0Draws
01. FC Magdeburg
28/10/26 · Bayern München 6–1 1. FC Magdeburg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

On the result, our pick is Bayern München to win (1.08); on goals, Both teams to score (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayern München or draw (1X).

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

As we see it: Bayern München to win 90%, the draw 7%, 1. FC Magdeburg to win 3%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:45, at Allianz Arena, Munich. Referee: H. Osmers.

Who will be missing?

Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 85% chance (odds 1.10), against 15% for under 2.5 (odds 7.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.81).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 3–0 (8.9%), 4–0 (8.8%), 3–1 (7.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.