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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Alvechurch vs Spalding United tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Alvechurch
4–0
Spalding United
1Alvechurch3.00
XDraw3.80
2Spalding United2.26

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Alvechurch v Spalding United takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Lye Meadow (Alfchurch). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Spalding United (X2)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
68%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Alvechurch vs Spalding United: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.003.802.26
Market average2.813.492.19
Lowest odds2.703.402.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2175.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.7453.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9846.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.8332.2%
BTTS – yes1.621.6156.9%
BTTS – no2.162.1343.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Alvechurch 1–1 Spalding United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

Alvechurch32%
Draw26%
Spalding United42%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.39
Likely
Draw or Spalding United (X2)67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.16
Outsider
Spalding United to win41.6% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.26
Outsider
Alvechurch to win32.4% · fair odds 3.09 · best 3.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.2% · fair odds 3.10 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.1%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 07.9%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 26.8%

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: injuries, suspensions, absences

Alvechurch

  • No reported absences

Spalding United

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
    2. Not available: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

    Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Alvechurch: no absences. Not available for Spalding United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.0%

    Alvechurch vs Spalding United: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

    On the result, our pick is Draw or Spalding United (X2) (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Spalding United (X2).

    Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

    As we see it: Alvechurch to win 32%, the draw 26%, Spalding United to win 42%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    20 October 2026, 19:45, at Lye Meadow, Alfchurch.

    Who will be missing?

    Alvechurch: no absences. Spalding United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.75), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.62).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (8.9%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.