Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln and Union Berlin meet on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), under referee S. Jablonski. 1. FC Köln (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.84 | 3.94 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.69 | 4.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.32 | 3.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 1W 0D 0L (2:1), Union Berlin 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 21 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 4D 10L, goals 29–27.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: injuries, suspensions, absences
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: 1. FC Köln 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Union Berlin 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1; Union Berlin: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: 1. FC Köln 7 wins, Union Berlin 10 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 29–27.
What to expect
We make 1. FC Köln the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 4 draws, Union Berlin 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: 1. FC Köln 2–1, Union Berlin 4–2.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Not available for Union Berlin: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnWUnion BerlinW1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: head to head
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1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
On the result, our pick is 1. FC Köln to win (1.84); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for 1. FC Köln or draw (1X).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
As we see it: 1. FC Köln to win 52%, the draw 25%, Union Berlin to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:45, at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: S. Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.